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Insights

Short-form perspectives from our LinkedIn — on AI-native investing, startup survival patterns, the future of professional services, and building in public. Cross-posted here for permanence and discoverability.

For deep research, see Charaka Notes.

Latest
India Thesis 20 Jun 2026

India's Venture Exits Aren't Delayed. They're Disguised as Funding Rounds.

India's exit infrastructure has reorganised around structured secondaries — not NSE listings. The Rapido £577M round explains why the IPO narrative is wrong.

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Future of Services 19 Jun 2026

A Senior PE Voice Said the Quiet Part Out Loud

Five AI-native funding events above £30M in 24 hours, and a private equity insider admits analytical work is being commoditised. The services flip is here.

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Death Diagnosis 18 Jun 2026

The Multi-Agent Trap Nobody Talks About

Multi-agent AI systems converge on wrong answers. The fix: phase isolation, immutable verdicts, and synthesis under tension — not consensus.

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Death Diagnosis 17 Jun 2026

Coding Is Solved. You Solved the Wrong Problem.

Boris Cherny declared routine coding solved. Sequoia agrees. So why have 94% of enterprise AI pilots failed to scale? The bottleneck was never code.

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Building in Public 16 Jun 2026

Andrej Karpathy shipped 'Wiki'. We made the same bet in February.

Karpathy shipped Wiki — an AI-native knowledge base. We made the same bet in February. What 90 days of a nightly knowledge graph produced.

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Future of Services 15 Jun 2026

OpenAI launched a consulting firm. Not a metaphor.

OpenAI's Deployment Company validates the AI-native services thesis — Harvey at £80M+ ARR, Corgi at £1.3B in four months, and what it means for professional services.

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Investment Intel 14 Jun 2026

Institutional investors just moved £400M into a single Indian fintech stock — four macro signals making the rotation structural

Four simultaneous macro signals explain why institutional investors moved £400M into Indian fintech — and why the rotation is structural, not opportunistic.

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1000x Worker 13 Jun 2026

The term 'prompt engineering' just got deprecated — context engineering is the new skill stack

The primitive layer of AI system design has moved. Prompts are instructions. Context is architecture — and it's the new professional skill stack.

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Signal & Synthesis 12 Jun 2026

This week's intelligence brief: five signals. One conclusion. The infrastructure moat just collapsed.

Anthropic shipped orchestration primitives. Centrally managed shared agents are winning. Boards want token budget ROI. The infrastructure layer became commodity in one week.

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Death Diagnosis 11 Jun 2026

Cognition raised $1B+ at $26B — evaluation function death diagnosis for AI agent companies

Cognition's $26B raise validates one category: agents with hard evaluation functions. It quietly invalidates the business model for most of the rest.

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India Thesis 10 Jun 2026

The India thesis just printed receipts. Multiple times. In one week.

Sharrp Ventures: 53x Mamaearth, 20x Delhivery, 10x Go Digit. Kissht IPO. HealthKart. 193.9x oversubscribed semiconductor play. India's exit infrastructure is inflecting.

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Signal & Synthesis 9 Jun 2026

Five days. Three theses just printed receipts in the same week.

AI roll-ups, India's IPO bifurcation, LP capital consolidation — three investment theses all printed receipts in the same 120 hours.

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Building in Public 8 Jun 2026

We Published 20+ AI-Generated Research Articles in 30 Days — The System and the 3 Things That Broke

An autonomous content engine published 20+ research articles in 30 days. Here's how the system works — and the 3 things that broke along the way.

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Death Diagnosis 7 Jun 2026

The Consulting Pyramid Is Dead — And the Autopsy Report Is Damning

McKinsey cut 200. Deloitte killed job titles. The pyramid was an arbitrage on structured information work — and that arbitrage just collapsed.

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Future of Services 6 Jun 2026

The £500K Due Diligence Report Won't Become a £50K Commodity — It'll Become a £5M Outcome

AI won't just make diligence cheaper. Three levels of disruption: cost compression, coverage expansion, value sharing. Most firms stop at the first.

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Building in Public 5 Jun 2026

Anthropic Launched Managed Agents. We'd Been Running That Architecture for Four Months.

Anthropic productised multiagent orchestration. We'd run it for four months — and the moat was never the architecture. It's the accumulated intelligence.

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Future of Services 4 Jun 2026

The Billable Hour Is the Most Elegant Death Trap in Business History

AI compresses consulting revenue while accidentally shielding law firms. 8 of 12 early-2026 acquisitions were agentic-native firms absorbing traditional shops.

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Future of Services 1 Jun 2026

31 Acquisitions in 17 Months. $6.3B Take-Private. Zero Additional Headcount.

Long Lake's 31st acquisition: AmEx GBT for $6.3B. Free cash flow doubled. Zero new headcount. AI-native operations isn't a thesis — it's a playbook.

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Investment Intel 6 May 2026

What 13,800+ Companies Taught an AI About Which Startups Survive

Competition kills 34% of startups. Regulation kills slowly but completely. And our AI system's invest calls have been right more than nine times in ten on which companies will raise follow-on funding (live figure published at getmanthan.com/live). The data from 303 postmortems.

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Investment Intel 5 May 2026

The LP Market Is More Concentrated Than the Companies It Invests In

5 firms captured 73.1% of LP commitments in Q1 2026. LP intelligence is democratising at the bottom. The data from Manthan Intelligence's knowledge graph.

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1000x Worker 4 May 2026

StrongDM Runs a Dark Factory With 3 Engineers. We Run a Dark Fund With 2 People.

Karpathy retired vibe coding for agentic engineering. StrongDM applies it to software. We applied it to venture investing. Here's what a dark fund looks like after 3 months.

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1000x Worker 4 May 2026

The 1000x Investor: What Happens When You Build an Investment Fund That Never Stops Thinking

We built Manthan Intelligence as the AI-native analytical engine for Tavaga Fund. 87,000+ entities, 25 daily analyses, self-calibrating accuracy loops. Here are the real numbers.

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